具體理由：自昨日市場出現重大的風格切換之后，從今天的盤面來看這種指數分化的情況依舊存在。創業板繼續唱著獨角戲，而滬深主板市場則表現一塌糊涂。主要原因在于權重股集體砸盤。而且后續很可能繼續向下砸，畢竟數個交易日出貨量是不夠的。而創業板自昨日起已經明顯顯示出有資金在逐步流入的跡象，短期即使主板繼續下跌創業板大概率會比較抗跌。

操作策略：以創業板中的創藍籌為*，搭配二線藍籌和三線題材做短為主，適當中線增持倉位，仍舊立足科技類、消費、次新+、新能源等超跌品種。持有權重股的可以考慮拋售一部分了。

資金猜想：養老金即將入場帶來增量資金

實現概率：55%

具體理由：今天滬指、深成指的量能較昨天有明顯的縮小，而今天早晨卻傳出新聞說基本養老保險基金投資運營穩步推進，數額達到2800億。看來養老金暫時是不著急的，等跌過一輪之后低位介入。但創業板指的量能卻繼續處在相對較高的水平，也許下一步增量資金介入的時候會更多地考慮關注創業板。

操作策略：當前市場波動頻率較大，需要及時的高拋低吸，否則很快盈利便會消失殆盡。下一階段市場面臨著壓力，恐大概率下行，建議投資者控制倉位等待介入的時機。

熱點猜想：創50依舊存在機會

實現概率：55%

具體理由：昨天的市場創業板正式宣布*歸來，而且我們看創業板放出的量能甚至都超過了上證50。今天創業板在主板市場量能不佳的情況下依舊能放出跟昨天差不多水平的成交量，足以顯示有增量資金在介入創業板。創業板內比較具有投資價值和機構關注度較高的多集中在創藍籌中，因此未來該板塊依舊存在投資機會。

操作策略：對于創50內業績和發展前景俱佳的個股可逢低布局了，同時兼顧有超跌概念，這樣其反彈的動能更加充足。追高仍需謹慎。

The trend conjecture: follow up or downwards, the gem still falls down

Realization of probability: 60%

Specific reasons: since the major style of yesterday's market switching, from today's inventory of the index of the index of differentiation still exists. The gem continues to sing the unicorn, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen motherboard market is a mess. The main reason is that the weight share collectively smash the plate. And the follow-up is likely to continue to fall, after all, a number of transactions are not enough. And since yesterday, the gem has clearly shown signs of funds in the gradual inflow of the short-term, even if the motherboard continues to fall the gem will be more likely to fall.

Operating strategy: the gem in a blue chip as the preferred second-line blue chip and three line collocation theme for short, appropriate midline holdings positions, still based on science and technology, consumption, new energy, new varieties of oversold +. Holding weight shares can be considered a part of the sale.

Money guess: pension is coming in to bring incremental funds

Realization of probability: 55%

Specific reasons: today the stock index, Shenzhen component index than the amount of energy yesterday was reduced, and the morning came the news that the basic old-age insurance fund investment operation steadily, the amount reached 280 billion. It seems that the pension is not in a hurry for the time being. But the scale of the gem continues to be at a relatively high level, and perhaps more attention will be given to the gem when the next step of incremental funding is involved.

Operating strategy: the current market fluctuation frequency is big, need to sell high timely, otherwise easy profit will disappear soon. The next stage of the market face pressure, fear of big probability down, suggest investors to control the position of the opportunity to wait for intervention.

Hot conjecture: creation 50 still has a chance

Realization of probability: 55%

Specific reasons: yesterday's market business board officially announced the return of the king, and we see the release of the gem can even exceed the 50. Today, under the condition that the main board market can't get enough energy, the gem can still release the volume similar to yesterday's level, which is enough to show that incremental funds are involved in the growth enterprise market. In the gem, there are more investment values and higher institutional focus in the blue chip, so there are still investment opportunities in the future.

Operating strategy: for a 50 performance and development prospect of good stocks may be the best bargain layout, taking into account the oversold concept, so that the rebound kinetic energy is more abundant. It is still necessary to be cautious.

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